As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Neil M. Gorsuch at about a 93% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Each option will resolve as YES if the individual is serving as a sitting justice on the Supreme Court of the United States at the start of 2029 (Eastern Time). As of market creation in November 2024, the nine Supreme Court justices were listed as options using their names as formatted in their official biographies. When adding names, please use a formal style to match. Good faith edits to new options are permitted.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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