Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 52% chance — a coin toss.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Since America is going to win AI, the world government, just like all your base, are belong to us, unless you get together and nuke us soon. So which of today's countries listed above do you think will join the American-created global government first?
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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