Who will win the 2040 United States presidential election?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 90% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2040 United States presidential election. If no presidential election is held in the United States in 2040, this market shall resolve to "No one". I will not bet on this market.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗