Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Brandenburg at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Each option resolves YES if the BSW (Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht) will have any seats in the parliament (Landtag/Abgeordnetenhaus/Bürgerschaft) of that state after their next election. NO otherwise. If the party is named something else still resolves YES.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗