Which party will come second-place in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
86¢Count Binface
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Count Binface86%
Reform9%
Other3%
Restore Britain1%
Reclaim1%
Conservatives0%
3 more1%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Count Binface at about a 86% chance — very likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ3.6K
24h volumeⱮ4
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)
Resolution criteria
Resolves N/A if there is no by-election.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗