Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Aisha Wahab at about a 93% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state. Follows the district number through any redistricting Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is for California's 14th Congressional District (the title previously incorrectly stated 11th district, but this was a typo). Update 2026-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the regularly scheduled 2026 election, not any special election that may occur beforehand.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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