Will "Caedrel" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?
🗂 Part of event: Who will be the most watched Twitch streamer in July? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 42% chance — less likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 42% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the name of the listed Twitch streamer ranked #1 by Hours Watched on the TwitchTracker "Most watched channels" leaderboard, which ranks channels by total hours watched over the last 30 days, at 12:00 PM ET on July 31, 2026. If two or more streamers display the same Hours Watched figure, the market will resolve in favor of the streamer listed higher (appearing above the other) on the leaderboard. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or if the relevant data is not available by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the TwitchTracker most-watched channels (hours watched) leaderboard (https://twitchtracker.com/channels/hours-watched).
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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