Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be less than 10,000?
🗂 Part of event: Clacton by-election: Turnout →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 4% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 4% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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