Will Person I win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?
🗂 Part of event: PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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