Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ethan Quinn vs Ben Shelton
🗂 Part of event: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ethan Quinn vs Ben Shelton →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Ben Shelton in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Ethan Quinn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
3M Open Winner
Jackson Koivun commands an unusually high 54% probability for a PGA Tour event, but the 1-point dip in the last 24 hours hints at shifting money, and recent headlines focus entirely on the British Open victory by Ryan Fox (AP News, Jul 24), offering no clear catalyst for that movement or for Koivun's lead itself.
66 outcomes
Ben Kohles vs The Field
Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.
2 outcomes
Zimbabwe vs India
India's 93% odds reflect a series win already secured with one match to spare, making the final T20I a dead rubber; the only recent shift is the market pricing in the series outcome after India's dominant 90-run victory in the second T20I (Al Jazeera, Jul 25).
2 outcomes
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Mackenzie Hughes vs The Field
The field is extremely open, with The Field at 98% reflecting the reality that in any given PGA Tour event, an individual golfer like Mackenzie Hughes faces overwhelming odds against a deep pool of competitors, and the recent headlines show Hughes is a fringe contender rather than a dominant force.
2 outcomes
LeBron James Next Team
The field is effectively a one-horse race: Philadelphia sits at 99% after LeBron James's decision to join the 76ers was widely reported on July 25, collapsing all other candidates into negligible shares. The single biggest shift was the collapse of the field from a multi-team speculation to a near-certainty for Philadelphia, triggered by multiple outlets confirming the move (USA Today, Jul 25; The Athletic, Jul 25).
30 outcomes