Hawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
🗂 Part of event: Hawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner →💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Gary Cordery at about a 82% chance — likely.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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