What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
🗂 Part of event: What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? →💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 72 Hours at about a 95% chance — almost certain.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
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7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
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2 outcomes
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Yes ≈ 88% chance
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
The field is extremely open with no candidate above 5%, and the biggest recent shift is Christopher Nolan's 'The Odyssey' shattering records with a $21M+ Tuesday and becoming the 3rd highest-grossing Hollywood film in India for 2026, yet it is not listed as a candidate, suggesting the market may be mispricing or ignoring a potential blockbuster that could dominate the year.
2 outcomes
Zohran Mamdani
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Yes ≈ 28% chance