Penza Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
🗂 Part of event: Penza Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner →💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Oleg Melnichenko at about a 95% chance — almost certain.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Penza Oblast on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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