Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
5,552 markets · page 11 of 232
Will the Legend of Zelda movie be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
5,552 markets · page 11 of 232
Yes ≈ 28% chance
8 outcomes
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 74% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
23 outcomes
Yes ≈ 50% chance
5 outcomes
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 36% chance
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
5 outcomes
Yes ≈ 93% chance
The field is heavily front-loaded, with near-certainty for 100+ traders but a toss-up on beating last year's count of 133, and the recent Spotify fraud scandal (WIRED, Jul 2) is the key event that has injected uncertainty into whether this market will attract as many participants as the 2025 edition.
10 outcomes
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 59% chance
Yes ≈ 18% chance