Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
713 markets · page 1 of 30
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 93% chance
7 outcomes
28 outcomes
The market is overwhelmingly concentrated on 'Other' at 99%, reflecting near-certainty that the show's record-breaking streak will end at some point beyond the current 11 weeks, with all specific week counts at 0% — a rare consensus that the exact duration is unpredictable despite the show's dominance.
34 outcomes
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 91% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
18 outcomes
The high 85% Yes odds reflect confidence that either the existing Star Wars record ($936M) will remain unbroken or a future Star Wars film will reclaim the top spot by May 2028, despite no recent headlines driving the market.
Yes ≈ 85% chance
27 outcomes
The market sees nearly no chance the sequel will out-gross the first film, even though the sequel has already crossed $1 billion, because the original's $1.36 billion global haul remains a very high bar and the sequel's streaming announcement suggests its theatrical run is winding down.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
6 outcomes
10 outcomes
James Cameron's continued dominance at the box office, with 'Avatar' holding the all-time record and multiple sequels planned, keeps the odds high, but the lack of recent headlines means the market is pricing in a long-term bet on franchise performance rather than any immediate catalyst.
Yes ≈ 75% chance
19 outcomes
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 65% chance