Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
AllFilm & TV 457Music 215Awards 158Celebrity 73Years 14Spider-Man 10Billion 7Person 6Black Panther Casting 4Candidate 1
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Kalshi🔭 2 venues
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Zohran Mamdani
Despite a firestorm of negative headlines on July 9, 2026, Mamdani's odds remain at 18%—a level that reflects both the long-shot historical base rate for state legislators being chosen and the possibility that his polarizing brand could make him a symbolic pick for a divided year.
Yes28¢
No72¢
Yes ≈ 28% chance