Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
446 markets · page 14 of 19
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Yes ≈ 33% chance
The market is pricing in a 65% chance based on the film's remarkable backstory and Cannes buzz, but the real test will come with its October release—the odds are high relative to the typical documentary's chances, reflecting the narrative's appeal rather than proven Academy reception.
Yes ≈ 65% chance
The market heavily doubts 'Tutu' will secure a nomination, likely because it is not yet a visible contender in early Oscar forecasts and the documentary field is historically competitive, but the 19% odds leave room for a surprise if the film gains traction during the fall festival circuit.
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Yes ≈ 91% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 48% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 23% chance