Culture prediction markets

Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.

All Film & TV 448 Music 212 Awards 154 Celebrity 73 Years 14 Spider-Man 10 Billion 7 Person 6 Black Panther Casting 4 Candidate 1

701 markets · page 3 of 30

Polymarket

Open

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Despite heavy marketing and a premiere ticket contest for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the market assigns only a 5% chance of a trailer debuting at SDCC 2026, reflecting the absence of any official confirmation or panel announcement with just one day until the convention.

Yes59¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$7.5K Vol 47pts16h

Culture prediction markets

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 60000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 60K

Will Denver Dubois do more Film work in 2026?

Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 80K

Netflix announces project about October 2025 Louvre heist before 2027?

"Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 70K

Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2028?

Big Brother Season 28 Winner

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 21 million views? — At least 21 million

Will The Sopranos still be one of the greatest TV series of all time in 2050?

"Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 50000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 50K

New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? — July 31, 2026

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 95000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 95K

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views? — At least 12 million

Will Generation 6 My Little Pony be a TV-G rated show in the USA by 2030?

Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 65000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 65K

Will the Barbenheimer movie get a 4.5 or above on IMDB?

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner