Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
707 markets · page 6 of 30
Yes ≈ 28% chance
The market's 22% odds reflect deep skepticism that a blockbuster franchise will adopt the niche academic term 'stochastic terrorism' as a plot device, but the absence of any formal film announcement means the real story is how little concrete information exists to move this number either way.
Yes ≈ 22% chance
The market is pricing a near-certain No because the #1 Netflix show typically falls short of 21 million views in a single week, and recent headlines about punitive damages, food assistance losses, and storm costs are unrelated to Netflix viewership, leaving no catalyst to shift the odds.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 97% chance
6 outcomes
The Legend of Zelda movie's Oscar nomination odds are low at 28% because no release date has been confirmed and video game adaptations almost never earn Oscar nominations, despite Sally Field's involvement generating some cultural buzz.
Yes ≈ 28% chance
5 outcomes
The field is extremely concentrated with The Pitt at 87% after the July 9 Primetime Emmy nominations, which gave it a broad category sweep; the only recent shift is The Pitt's surge from below 50% to 87% following the nominations (CBS News, Jul 9), making the race a near-coronation unless a late surge materializes.
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 74% chance
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 36% chance