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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 2 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 721 Growth & recession 285 Inflation 177 Monetary policy 105 Largest Companies 85 Jobs & labor 61 Gasoline Prices 42 Bitcoin Price Levels 15 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 7 Fiscal & trade 6

130 markets · page 2 of 6

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 185,000

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$80 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1234…6Next ›

Will 25% of US construction workers have their jobs negatively impacted by AI by 2030?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ890 Vol4y

Polymarket

Open

How many jobs added in July?

50k – 100k33¢

6 outcomes

$13.7K Vol▼ 4pts11d

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 215,000

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$308 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

50%+ of interpreters and translators lose jobs by 2030?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ194 Vol4y

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 175,000

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$18 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol4y

Kalshi

Open

Will above 0 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 0

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$1.6K Vol12d

Kalshi

Open

Will above 10000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 10,000

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

$365 Vol12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Proportional to population, will the number of white collar jobs in the US decrease by five-fold by the year 2040?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ50 Vol14y

Kalshi

Open

Will above 40000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 40,000

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

$1.8K Vol12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol5y

Kalshi

Open

Will above 20000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 20,000

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$2.4K Vol12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Al take 50% of human jobs before 2040?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ408 Vol13y

Kalshi

Open

Will above 30000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 30,000

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$7.3K Vol12d

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 180,000

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$9 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will >10 US frontier lab employees be killed in relation to their jobs by 2040?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ66 Vol13y

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 190,000

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$55 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2075?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ31 Vol—

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 195,000

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

$215 Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2045?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ225 Vol18y

Kalshi

Open

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026

61.0% to 61.4%32¢

5 outcomes

$4.1K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%? — Above 3%

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

$51.6K Vol7mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Al take 50% of human jobs before 2045?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ904 Vol18y