Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
5,753 markets · page 1 of 240
27 outcomes
The market sees a Dubai real estate all-time high in 2026 as unlikely because the recent cooling in prices and a shift toward stabilization suggest the boom has peaked, despite a strong 2025 and a brief post-ceasefire rally.
Yes ≈ 12% chance
10 outcomes
Discord's IPO closing market cap odds heavily favor a 'No' outcome at 74%, reflecting skepticism that the messaging platform can achieve a $20 billion valuation on its first trading day, especially amid a volatile tech IPO landscape where recent high-profile listings like Zhipu AI have seen extreme surges but broader tech stocks show divergence.
Yes ≈ 27% chance
30 outcomes
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Discord's $20B IPO market cap target faces headwinds from recent tech IPO underperformance and market volatility, making the 'No' side the clear favorite at 72%.
Yes ≈ 27% chance