Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
AllMarkets & equities 721Growth & recession 285Inflation 177Monetary policy 105Largest Companies 85Jobs & labor 61Gasoline Prices 42Bitcoin Price Levels 15Currency Exchange Rates 14Headline 8Gold Price Levels 7Fiscal & trade 6
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Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — July Meeting
Despite a 15-point surge in Yes probability over the past week, no relevant Fed or economic headlines appear in the provided data, leaving the move unexplained and potentially driven by unlisted factors.
Yes20¢
No80¢
Yes ≈ 20% chance
$631K Vol 6pts4mo