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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 21 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 720 Growth & recession 286 Inflation 171 Monetary policy 113 Largest Companies 87 Jobs & labor 61 Gasoline Prices 43 Bitcoin Price Levels 19 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Gold Price Levels 8 Headline 8 Fiscal & trade 6

12,224 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 21 of 417

Polymarket

Open

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan? — ↑ 1.5T yuan

Yes96¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$10K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

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Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.58 billion family daily active people in Q2 2026?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$2.8K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Twitter join the S&P 500?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ515 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes53¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$3.6K Vol▼ 6pts10d

Kalshi

Open

Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $210 billion total trading volume in Q2 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$15.6K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will India's GDP cross $7 trillion by 2030?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes62¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$2.8K Vol▼ 11pts9d

Kalshi

Open

Who will dissent at the July 2026 FOMC meeting? — Beth Hammack

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$5.7K Vol▲ 0pts3d

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 9pts8d

Kalshi

Open

$180.01 or above

Despite escalating Middle East supply fears and a brief price spike to the highest since mid-June, WTI crude remains far from the $180 threshold, which would shatter all-time records; the 12% odds reflect a market pricing in tail risk from geopolitical disruption rather than a baseline expectation.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$752K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

ForecastEx

Open

US Fed Funds Target Rate (3.375)

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ890 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? — ↑$1.5T

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$123K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will average gas prices be above $4.070? — Above 4.070

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts11h

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (210000)

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Polymarket

Open

Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$4.5K Vol▲ 12pts3d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will GDP grow at more than 7% on average around 2030?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ795 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will average gas prices be above $4.104? — Above 4.104

Yes97¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

$6.6K Vol▼ 1pts11h

Polymarket

Open

Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$5.3K Vol▲ 13pts2d

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (210000)

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts3d