Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
5,806 markets · page 23 of 242
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
5,806 markets · page 23 of 242
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Yes ≈ 72% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 91% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 69% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 88% chance
OpenAI's IPO odds remain low at 19% despite a wave of bullish industry chatter and a $520 million loan from Bank of America, because key executive departures and unresolved governance risks are keeping the market skeptical that a public listing will happen by year-end 2026.
Yes ≈ 19% chance