Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

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September Meeting

The market assigns a 61% probability to a Fed rate hike by September 2026, driven by global central bank tightening signals and geopolitical developments rather than any direct Fed communication.

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$454K Vol4mo

ForecastEx

Economics prediction markets

September Meeting

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in July 2026? — Above -0.4%

Will gas hit $2.50 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $2.50

Will https://www.noaa.gov/inflation-reduction-act still be online by EOY2027

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $3.00

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%?

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2026? — Above 0.3%

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31? — ↑ $4.50

Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in July 2026? — Above 2.1%

Boston CPI (374)

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2026? — Above 0.2%

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Boston CPI (374)

Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $3.70

CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?

Will July 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Price of Dozen Eggs in July?

Boston CPI (374)