Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
6,288 markets · page 38 of 262
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
6,288 markets · page 38 of 262
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Yes ≈ 73% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Yes ≈ 51% chance
Despite the historical rarity of any company reaching a $1 trillion market cap on its first trading day, prediction markets are pricing an 74% chance for OpenAI, driven by intense retail demand and analogies to other blockbuster IPOs, but the underlying fundamentals may be overhyped.
Yes ≈ 74% chance