Tech prediction markets

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Yes ≈ 14% chance

✨ The market heavily discounts a Starship orbital docking in 2026 after a recent launch abort (Spaceflight Now, Jul 17) and the steep technical challenge of achieving two stable orbits and a mating maneuver within five months, despite NASA's Artemis III plans that depend on such a capability.

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Yes ≈ 97% chance

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Yes ≈ 32% chance