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Kalshi
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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 14
Despite SpaceX's ambitions for a high launch cadence, a major Starship abort on July 17 and the apparent lack of sufficent launches in the first three weeks of July make it virtually certain that the 14-launch threshold for the month will not be met.
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$275K Vol 0pts6d