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World prediction markets & live odds — page 4 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6376 Climate & weather 5043 Geopolitics & conflict 1649 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 301 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 82 Fable 5 Access 58 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,830 markets · page 4 of 77

Manifold· Play

Open

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on July 31, 2026?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ61 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev123456…77Next ›

United Torah Judaism

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$1.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$288K Vol▼ 4pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will Balad be a part of the next government in Israel?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$558 Vol▼ 7pts1y

Polymarket

Open

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1.7M Vol23d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 3500 USD/t on July 31, 2026?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ113 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? — NATO

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$519 Vol▲ 0pts15d

Polymarket

Open

Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$222K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be at least one more peace talk by the US and Iran before August 1?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will Noam be a part of the next government in Israel?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

0-2095¢

5 outcomes

$247K Vol▲ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on July 31, 2026?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ59 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Ra’am be a part of the next government in Israel?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$4.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$83.4K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will Hadash–Ta’al be a part of the next government in Israel?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$3.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ55 Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Religious Zionist Party

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 2000 USD/t on July 31, 2026?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ81 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Polymarket

Open

Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$68.9K Vol▼ 2pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Russia / Russian

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts16d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China May 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ191 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Iran (3 + times)

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$4.5K Vol▲ 0pts16d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be famine in Russia before 2029?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ7.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y