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World prediction markets & live odds — page 71 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6388 Climate & weather 5154 Geopolitics & conflict 1666 US Election Margins 412 Health 325 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 86 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,846 markets · page 71 of 77

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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‹ Prev1…6970717273…77Next ›

WIll Ukraine become a Civ7/6/5 civ by EOY2030?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ20 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will China take any part of Russian territory for its own within the next 3 years?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Israel attack Iraq in 2033?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ52 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ538 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

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Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ704 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the US attack a NATO country before Russia does?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ430 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ600 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2039?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ53 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Ukraine recognizes Crimea as part of Russia?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ92 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ17.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

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Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ154 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will China get AGI first?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ763 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ482 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ5.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ14K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Israel hyperinflation by 2030?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ138 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will China collapse before 2030

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ540 Vol▲ 0pts5mo