Will Ariana Grande have above 450000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
🗂 Part of event: petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 4% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 4% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If petal by Ariana Grande has above 450K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Will the documentary, "Instadocs: The prediction market games" be available on Netflix in July?
Yes ≈ 96% chance
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
2 outcomes