Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?
🗂 Part of event: Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 18% chance — unlikely.
Across venues
· updated 2hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 9%–18%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Prediction markets collectively imply about an 18% chance that Kim Jong-Un will visit the United States during Trump's term, though the play-money market on Manifold shows a lower 9% chance, likely due to different participant incentives.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 18% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Kim Jong-Un visits the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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