Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 9% chance — very unlikely.
Across venues
· updated 4hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 9%–18%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Prediction markets collectively imply about an 18% chance that Kim Jong-Un will visit the United States during Trump's term, though the play-money market on Manifold shows a lower 9% chance, likely due to different participant incentives.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 9% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗