2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 21% chance — unlikely.
Across venues
· updated 1mPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 3 venues — prices range 21%–72%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the average chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026 is 70%, but one play-money venue shows much lower odds (21%), likely due to different audience incentives or lower liquidity.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 21% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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