When will Germany's tourism return to 2019 levels?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 2025 at about a 51% chance — a coin toss.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
International arrivals in Germany peaked at 39,563,000 in 2019. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ST.INT.ARVL?locations=DE Visits have plummetted in 2020--2022. What will be the first year that inbound arrivals to Germany hits 39,563,000 or more, according to the numbers provided on worldbank.org or a similarly reputable source? (https://data.worldbank.org/share/widget?indicators=ST.INT.ARVL&locations=DE)
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