At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: $1.3 – $2.1 trillion at about a 63% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026. This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price. (Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts. But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.) See also: - When will Anthropic IPO? - What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? - Anthropic 2026 peak valuation - Anthropic 2027 peak valuation - Anthropic 2028 peak valuation - What will Anthropic's initial share price be?
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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