Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
5,516 markets · page 5 of 230
Yes ≈ 19% chance
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 74% chance
49 outcomes
Yes ≈ 94% chance
Yes ≈ 41% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 62% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
The market is roughly even on whether a mass-produced, widely-owned guitar amp will appreciate enough to exceed the inflation-adjusted value of 20 tons of iron ore by 2050 — a bet on rarity and nostalgia overcoming high initial supply.
Yes ≈ 52% chance
Yes ≈ 55% chance
The market is highly personal and opaque—the 73% odds likely reflect the creator's own stated timeline, but the provided headlines offer no direct evidence about this specific band's recording plans, only general genre activity.
Yes ≈ 73% chance