Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
AllMarkets & equities 725Growth & recession 286Inflation 174Monetary policy 107Largest Companies 90Jobs & labor 62Gasoline Prices 43Bitcoin Price Levels 15Currency Exchange Rates 14Headline 8Gold Price Levels 7Fiscal & trade 6
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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 27, 2026? — 4.6% or above
Yes94¢
No6¢
Yes ≈ 94% chance
$16 Vol 0pts1d
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