Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
12,341 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 31 of 417
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
12,341 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 31 of 417
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Yes ≈ 67% chance
Yes ≈ 92% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 21% chance
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
The market heavily discounts a rate cut before 2027 because the new Fed chair has publicly signaled 'no tolerance' for high inflation, and the June statement removed any cutting bias, but mortgage experts note that rates can fall without a Fed cut, suggesting the market may be overpricing the hawkish stance.
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 49% chance
Yes ≈ 66% chance
Yes ≈ 15% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance