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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 33 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 737 Growth & recession 291 Inflation 148 Monetary policy 146 Largest Companies 104 Jobs & labor 61 Bitcoin Price Levels 25 Gasoline Prices 17 Gold Price Levels 14 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Fiscal & trade 7

12,391 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 33 of 417

Polymarket

Open

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? — ↓ $6,200

Yes32¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

$36.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…3132333435…417Next ›

Will Coinbase Global Inc. report above $155 billion total trading volume in Q2 2026? — Above $155 billion

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$10.5K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Which of these Elon's promises will be true? (Q125 financial results)

Paid autonomous ride-sharing service launch in Austin in June '2585¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ948 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes82¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$2.8K Vol2d

Kalshi

Open

What will Toll Brothers, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Spec Home

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$1K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2037?

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ312 Vol▲ 0pts12y

Polymarket

Open

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet89¢

29 outcomes

$55.3K Vol▼ 2pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? — Cuts

The market heavily discounts a rate cut before 2027 because the new Fed chair has publicly signaled 'no tolerance' for high inflation, and the June statement removed any cutting bias, but mortgage experts note that rates can fall without a Fed cut, suggesting the market may be overpricing the hawkish stance.

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$822K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$5.6K Vol▲ 4pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will 25% of US construction workers have their jobs negatively impacted by AI by 2030?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ890 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1565000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in Q2 2026? — Above 1565000

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$2.1K Vol▼ 19pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Bitcoin * $150,000 * 2026?

below - in100¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1560000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in Q2 2026? — Above 1560000

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July? — ↓ $55

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$233K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ293 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

4.58% or above

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$863 Vol▼ 2pts20h

Polymarket

Open

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6.5B?

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$554 Vol8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the unemployment rate in the Los Angeles metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

The market is nearly split, reflecting a tug-of-war between the lingering labor market disruption from the 2025 Los Angeles wildfires and a strong underlying job recovery that has pushed unemployment to multi-year lows.

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ25 Vol▲ 0pts19d

Kalshi

Open

Will average gas prices be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026? — Above $7.00

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$21K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

S&P 50064¢

3 outcomes

$874K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will silver close above $60 at the end of July, 2026 based on SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance ($60.82 at market creation)

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ94 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

What will Ford Motor Company say during their next earnings call? — Apple

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

$2K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

No Change49¢

5 outcomes

$27.8K Vol▼ 1pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

What will The Boeing Company say during their next earnings call? — Tariff

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$2K Vol▼ 7pts4d