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25,796 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 11 of 417
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance
21 outcomes
The market is perfectly balanced, reflecting deep uncertainty about the likelihood of clean sweeps (2-0 scores) in a Bo3 format tournament, but the key unknown is whether the stage's matchups are lopsided or competitive.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance
The market heavily favors 'No' at 90% because the acronym 'ASI' in most recent headlines refers to the Archaeological Survey of India or General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, not Artificial Superintelligence, making it extremely unlikely that the question refers to any entity or milestone on track for an AGI breakthrough by 2030.
Yes ≈ 10% chance
The market is perfectly split because both teams have shown inconsistent map pool depth, making a three-map series equally plausible as a sweep, with no clear edge from recent head-to-head data.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
6 outcomes
While the June 14 framework agreement gave a formal negotiating path, the odds remain low because both sides are publicly conditioning progress on stark ultimatums—Iran demands an end to threats, Trump warns of military action—making a final deal by year-end a long shot despite the slight upward drift.
Yes ≈ 33% chance
Yes ≈ 60% chance
Yes ≈ 90% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 58% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance