World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
3,722 markets · page 15 of 156
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
3,722 markets · page 15 of 156
Yes ≈ 5% chance
11 outcomes
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 75% chance
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Despite recent record-breaking advances in high-temperature superconductivity at ambient pressure, the market heavily doubts a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor will be found by 2030, reflecting the enormous gap between current records (~150 K) and room temperature (300 K) and the short timeline.
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 48% chance