World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
1,823 markets · page 3 of 76
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
1,823 markets · page 3 of 76
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 60% chance
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 47% chance
12 outcomes
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 49% chance
5 outcomes
Delcy Rodríguez is the de facto leader after a devastating earthquake, but her hold on power is fragile amid a humanitarian crisis and the looming return of opposition figure Maria Corina Machado, making a permanent transition to head of state by year-end unlikely.
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 94% chance
Yes ≈ 65% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Yes ≈ 75% chance