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World prediction markets & live odds — page 76 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6376 Climate & weather 5043 Geopolitics & conflict 1649 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 301 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 82 Fable 5 Access 58 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,830 markets · page 76 of 77

Manifold· Play

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100,000 Indians immigrate to China on K visas before 2030?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ90 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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‹ Prev1…74757677Next ›

Will China complete a massive hydropower development on the Great Bend of the Yarlung Tsangpo River by 2050?

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ35 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ4.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will China have true democracy in 2040?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ458 Vol▲ 0pts14y

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If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Chinese invasion of Taiwan mega market (30k subsidy)

China sanctioned by US + Europe78¢

33 outcomes

Ɱ57.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ308 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Military conflict between the US and Cuba before 2028?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will the "US x Iran permanent peace deal" Polymarket resolution result in a successful class action lawsuit?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will nuclear ballistic missile submarines become obsolete by 2100?

Yes60¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Australia get involved in the Iran conflict?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ448 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will a country leave NATO this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Russia be the de facto ruling power of the North Pole by 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ832 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?

Despite sensational headlines about a Chinese invasion of Pratas Island, the odds remain low because the reported action is a limited seizure of a remote outpost, not a full-scale invasion of Taiwan proper, and the U.S. is distracted by a war with Iran.

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ23.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ23.7K Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will China become a high-income country before 2027?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ122 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will China be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ45 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will China start a program in which the government somehow breeds humans that are raised by the state before 2050?

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ290 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ439 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

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Will the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Credible evidence of pre-arranged local support for Venezuela regime change (news media 2026)

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ4.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y