Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,425 markets · page 16 of 185
Yes ≈ 32% chance
50 outcomes
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 36% chance
The field is unusually fragmented with no clear favorite, as the top three candidates sum to just 37%, and the biggest recent shift is the collapse of the $2,000+ bracket after Ethereum fell below $2,000 in early June and then dropped 30% below its 200-week SMA by mid-June, pushing probability into lower bins.
18 outcomes
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Yes ≈ 76% chance
Yes ≈ 83% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 73% chance
Yes ≈ 21% chance
The market is pricing a 0% chance of Ethereum reaching $2,500 in July 2026 because the current price is far below that level and the month is nearly over, with no plausible catalyst to trigger a rally of that magnitude in the remaining days.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
Despite a flurry of bullish headlines about Japan's Bitcoin ETFs and miner contracts, the market sees a near-zero chance of Bitcoin hitting $1M by end-2026, reflecting the enormous gap between current prices and the target, and the lack of any direct catalyst bridging that gap.
Yes ≈ 1% chance