Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
475 markets · page 1 of 20
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Despite a 24% drop on July 18 and a 22% peak-to-trough decline in June, the market assigns only a 10% chance that Hyperliquid's HYPE will dip to $20 by year-end, suggesting the token remains far above that threshold and sellers have not yet triggered the required low.
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Hyperliquid's $100 target is a 7x+ leap from current prices, and the 30% odds reflect a market that sees a path via institutional adoption and derivatives growth but is heavily skeptical of such a rapid climb within 18 months, especially after a recent 8-point drop in Yes probability.
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Despite a 24% flash crash and whale deposit of $30M HYPE, the market prices HYPE’s dip to $16 as a <10% probability, betting that the token’s deep liquidity and platform usage (record BTC longs) will support the price above $16 through year-end.
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
The market heavily doubts a second Hyperliquid airdrop by year-end because the project's only airdrop-like event was an NFT that explicitly doesn't count, and no token airdrop has been announced or credibly hinted at with six months remaining.
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 72% chance
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Despite Hyperliquid's record-breaking $11B open interest and its HYPE token flipping XRP and DOGE, the market sees near-certainty (98%) that no perpetual DEX will overtake it in 2026, implying traders view its lead as structurally entrenched.
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Despite Hyperliquid's growing popularity and trading volume, the odds of a Binance listing remain low at 14%, driven by regulatory warnings and skepticism about the platform's transparency and comparison to Binance.
Yes ≈ 15% chance
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 74% chance
Yes ≈ 28% chance