Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
332 markets · page 3 of 14
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 39% chance
50 outcomes
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 96% chance
The field is unusually fragmented with no clear favorite, as the top three candidates sum to just 37%, and the biggest recent shift is the collapse of the $2,000+ bracket after Ethereum fell below $2,000 in early June and then dropped 30% below its 200-week SMA by mid-June, pushing probability into lower bins.
18 outcomes
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
The market is pricing a 0% chance of Ethereum reaching $2,500 in July 2026 because the current price is far below that level and the month is nearly over, with no plausible catalyst to trigger a rally of that magnitude in the remaining days.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Despite persistent ETF outflows and a 60% year-to-date price drop, the market is nearly split on whether Ethereum will fall below $1,500 by year's end, suggesting that the sell-off may be near exhaustion but that a cascade risk from large liquidations could tip the balance.
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
The 35-point drop in Yes odds in 24 hours signals that the market now believes the recent geopolitical and regulatory news has been priced in without touching $1,800, and whale accumulation is providing a floor.
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
The market sees a 39% chance of Ethereum falling below $1250 by early 2027, reflecting persistent bearish pressure from record ETF outflows and a 60% price drop, but also skepticism that the decline will reach that extreme given long-term bullish price targets.
Yes ≈ 39% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance