Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,389 markets · page 6 of 183
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 100% chance
The market heavily favors a No resolution because Bitcoin has been trading in the mid-$60K range for weeks, and with only five days left until the July 31 deadline, a sustained rally above $70K would require a massive, unanticipated catalyst that current headlines do not support.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
The market heavily favors Hyperliquid, but the 'airdrop fatigue' narrative and lack of recent specific announcements from either project suggest the odds may be overpricing the certainty of an imminent Hyperliquid drop.
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 68% chance
The market heavily discounts ETH dropping below $1,000 within 48 hours of BTC hitting $50K, despite recent crypto-wide selloffs and geopolitical shocks, because BTC itself is still far from that level and the observation window is tight.
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 25% chance
The market assigns only a 34% chance that Ethereum will trade above $4,000 within 48 hours of Bitcoin first hitting $100,000, reflecting skepticism that Bitcoin will reach that milestone soon and that ETH will follow in lockstep.
Yes ≈ 34% chance
With only five days left in July and Bitcoin trading well below $75,000, the 99% No odds reflect the near-certainty that the minute-candle high will not reach that level; recent bullish headlines about Japan ETFs and miner contracts are long-term developments that do not affect the immediate resolution deadline.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Yes ≈ 69% chance