Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,938 markets · page 11 of 206
Yes ≈ 43% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
4 outcomes
18 outcomes
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
24 outcomes
The Democratic Party's 60% polling lead reflects generic ballot strength after the 2026 midterm primaries, but the race remains highly volatile because the field is de-personalized—removing candidate-specific risk—and the Republican base is consolidating around a nominee who could unify a contested coalition.
3 outcomes
9 outcomes
10 outcomes
Yes ≈ 48% chance
The field is unusually fragmented for this stage, with no candidate above 23% and the top three summing only 60%, but the biggest recent shift is the consolidation of Maine Democratic attention on Troy Jackson's Senate nomination, which has no direct impact on the 2028 presidential race but signals party organizational focus on swing-state Senate races (Reuters, Jul 25).
16 outcomes
Yes ≈ 21% chance
The race is overwhelmingly tilted toward the Republican frontrunner, but an internal GOP power struggle—highlighted by Politico—could fracture the party's unity and create an opening for Democrats, who currently hold only 14% odds.
3 outcomes
Yes ≈ 61% chance