Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3915 US elections 2801 Foreign politics 437 Political Leader Tenure 356 Future US Presidents 228 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 Person of the Year Awards 14 Sports & Political Leadership 10

424 markets · page 12 of 18

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) become vice president of the United States before she turns 70?

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ809 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…1011121314…18Next ›

Open

Will Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ9.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

New elected president of Iran before EOM May 2027?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ270 Vol▲ 0pts10mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Nasry Asfura elected president of Honduras?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ35 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene ever be president of a new confederacy?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ30.3K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any sitting SCOTUS justice be impeached and convicted this decade?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ304 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026?

The market assigns a near-zero probability to Kristi Noem being impeached by the House in 2026 because she was fired from her DHS post in March 2026, making her a private citizen no longer subject to impeachment by the current Congress.

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ285K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the end of his 2nd term?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ604 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ111 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) become president of the United States before she turns 70?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Pam Bondi impeachment articles pass house?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ199 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ16.6K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump is impeached again in his second term, will it stick?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ611 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ291 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

Ɱ8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jeff Bezos ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts10y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Xi Jinping remain the President of China by the end of 2030?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sławomir Mentzen ever becomes the President of Poland

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ347 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2028?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts—